0830  AM EDT  HURRICANE IKE  UPDATE
All of the overnight data with regard to the potential track for hurricane IKE continues to be really bad news for the Houston metro area as the hurricane models continue to shift north with every new run.
What is particularly disquieting from my point of view is that the European model which has been the model of choice over the past four days regarding Ike… which was the first model to show the northwestern long before any of the other models or hurricane models showed it… and the model which is the most consistent with his northwest turn and has never varied once… is now early this morning taking IKE very close if not directly through the Houston metro area.
note the  DUE  north track
  0Z  THURSDAY     EUROPEAN  48 HRS

0Z    THURSDAY   EUROPEAN  72 HOURS

In addition  the 0z  and    6z hurricane models are also showing the trend as you can see from these links. Clearly the new  6z hurricane models show a landfall now north of Corpus Christi   and much closer towards Houston.
0z   HURRICANE MODELS

6Z  HURRICANE  MODELS

The   trend in the Hurricane Models continued overnight  and the pressure  has  dropped  to  944 MB   so   based  STRICTLY on the pressure   IKE  is now clearly at a category  4  Hurricane … BUT the winds have yet to come up… so they are still stuck a category 2   level winds. There are several reasons for this all of which are pretty technical but eventually it seems a high probability that the winds will begin to come up over the next 24 hours and if that happens we will be looking at a solid category four hurricane at the time of landfall.
Another interesting aspect of this hurricane  will be its trajectory which again is going to enable the system to remain fairly strong right up until landfall.  More importantly the track of IKE is going to develop a powerful southeasterly Fetch  of high winds from the central Gulf driving towards the central upper Texas Gulf Coast as well as western Louisiana. Huge ocean waves will develop and start showing up in the bouys within the next 12 hours along the Gulf Coast  and the flooding potential for areas such as Sabine Pass  and Galveston Bay will be significant …. and if in fact the wind speeds to reach category for status with IKE the prolonged Southeast exposed fetch across the western Gulf of Mexico could really do a number on the coastal areas as well as potentially the refineries just in land in these regions with significant flooding.
Again I do want to emphasize that while the model data has now reached a strong consensus continues to show a sharp turn to the northwest occurring before landfall there is still some RISK that the turn will occur after the system makes landfall. In this possible scenario  IKE crashes into Corpus Christi then turns the northwest and then north tracking over Dallas.
This is scenario would mean no direct hit for the Houston area and not nearly as severe conditions for much of the Texas natural gas production areas. Interestingly a lot of relief and rescue efforts as well as evacuations   from Houston appear to be headed towards or staged out of Dallas and in this possible scenario Dallas could see Priest back conditions as the core of the  hurricane… much weekend…  passes over Dallas.
  NEXT   UPDATE   1130 AM   EDT
DT 
804   307 8070

MORNING       GUSTAV  UPDATE

1150   AM     8/29

Lots  to talk about  with   GUSTAV…

The  Hurricane  center  did NOT  upgrade  GUSTAV  to hurricane   even though  the    Radar  loops from  Cuba   clearly  show an Eye.  In addition the  New   satellite   pictures   show an eye    forming… and this can be clearly   seen on the  IR  pictures… 

The  reasoning is   that the  recon Plane is  now  enroute and it will be there  by 1230-1PM … so if   they do find a  Hurricane   the Hurricane center can  always  upgrade with a   bulletin at  2pm

The   12z  NEW   hurricane  models    still show a  cat 4  Hurricane in he  GULF… and he may undergo  explosive intensification  in the  northwest caribbean   Saturday…  BEFORE   entering  the  Gulf…

Again  let me emphasize  that  I will be  issuing  statements  over  the  Long  Holiday  weekend.  if you  want  statements   issued   to a  HOME  or alternate    email   just send it to me.

12z   HURRICANE  MODELS… note  the bend to the  LEFT  at the end of all of these tracks

This  Link  shows the various   models  showing    Gustav’s  possible  intensity  day 1-5…
Note  how   3 of them now show a cat 4  and  6  show a  cat  3  Hurricane. 

On a daily basis we receive e-mails from our loyal students thanking us for all the great education they get from John’s appearances and webinars and all the efforts from our peers in the trading room and from our office to help you and maintain open communication and support. We don’t take anything for granted and we will continue to strive to help you gain a better understanding on how to analyze and trade today’s markets whether it is Stocks, Commodities or Forex. Our focus is technique and simple methodology.

So join us, we have setup special event for Tuesday, July 22nd only for our own community of subscribers.

To register click on the link or copy paste to your browser:

http://www.nationalfutures.com/webinar2.htm

Title : Live System Analysis on The Top Market Movers

On Tuesday, John will dissects and analyzes the top market movers.

Commodities like Crude Oil, Stock Index’s, Grains, and Metals are making enormous moves where might they head into August. Should we look at spread opportunities in Stock sectors like Blue Chip versus Technology or Small Caps.? What sectors have held up well in front of this last down swing?

Is now the time to look at the Big Pharm stocks?

We will go over what the technical outlook is and examine these markets and others in a pre market session in order to prepare you for the trading day, week and month. Traders will get a live breakdown on top to bottom analysis for these markets by a seasoned veteran. John’s latest predictions were calling for a top in the Soybean market which traditionally begins the week of the 4th of July, soybeans have fallen sharply since then, he also gave a target for a top in Crude oil between

147 and 149, the high was 147.27, he was also calling for a bottoming phase to begin in the S&P’s and the Dow last week.

You may want to hear his cycle predictions for the next major move for the stock markets and that is one of the topics he will cover in this session. Start your morning off with live market analysis for the trading day, then pick up a lesson on technical analysis tactics and listen to his longer term outlook on Futures, Stocks and ETFS! Don’t miss this opportunity sign-up now!

When: July 22, 2008

7:00 AM CT ( Chicago day time savings)

http://www.nationalfutures.com/webinar2.htm

Good day and good trading,

Mary Person

If you need assistance please call 561-655-1881. This event will be recorded and the link will be send to those who register to the e-mail on the registration. In addition, please make sure you add our name to your do not block list or the spam folder nationalfutures.com, this will help with getting our logins and instructions.

The risk of trading futures and options can be substantial. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results. www.nationalfutures.com © Copyright 1998-2008. All rights reserved

John Person Inc

1701 E Lake Ave #335

Glenview, Il 60025

www.NationalFutures.com

The risk of trading futures, options

and forex can be substantial. Each

investor must consider whether this is

a suitable investment. Past performance

is not indicative of future results.

Bitte schauen Sie sich auch das Interview von Boone Pickens bei CNBC an.

When: Start Time: 07/10/2008 7:00 PM CST

How: After you complete the registration an e-mail will be send to you with login information to the e-mail on your registration form. Please check your spam folder, message is generated instantly.

Join us Thursday with John Person as he demonstrates his genuine and unique proprietary indicator - Lesson 1 - Most people are trading off of lagging indicators often missing moves or entering well after a reversal has occurred. This proprietary indicator is a leading indicator giving traders information in advance of a potential major move.

In addition, this indicator will help you line up both the potential market condition and filter out buy and sell signals. Another major benefit and helpful aspect of this indicator is it gives the trader a better idea of potential profit and loss objectives in a predefined manor.

This indicator is completely pre-programmed and based off of the markets price action and not market fundamentals. Today’s investors are at the mercy of the most technologically advanced trading environment in the past 100 year history of the markets, from on-line order entry to computer generated trading signals. In fact, did you know that most aspects of trading are currently giving the best favorable odds for individual traders as long as they know what to look for when analyzing the markets.

The playing field is now more favorable for the individual investor, but we are also subjected to some of the most volatile market conditions ever. John’s session will help walk you through an amazing trading tool that will help you identify the markets moves whether the market is bullish or bearish so that you can make a better trading decision in the right market condition.

Click this link to register for this Free event.

http://www.nationalfutures.com/webinar2.htm

See you at the webinar

John Person Inc.

John Person Inc

1701 E Lake Ave #335

Glenview, Il 60025

www.NationalFutures.com

Dear friend,

2008 has been an incredible year for trading!! Amazing volatility has provided incredible opportunities for gains for traders who know what to look for.

Mark you calendar for a FREE webinar hosted by John Person.

When - Thursday, May 29, 2008

Time - 7:00 AM CST

Place - Trading Triggers Live Trading Room Topic - Maximize Your Trading Profits by Trading Volatility

To register, click on the link or copy/paste:

http://www.nationalfutures.com/webinar2.htm

John’s message:

The trading for 2008 thus far has provided some of the most extreme swings in volatility that traders have experienced. Astute traders use this volatility to their advantage to profit from major market swings.

There is no doubt we are in a turbulent trading environment. S&P’s make 5 point moves every five minutes, Gold has 15 dollar daily swings, grains make the 1970’s look like a cake walk, and the Dollar is beginning to show signs of a bottom.

To trade successfully in today’s volatile markets, you must have the know-how and the confidence to use trading strategies, fundamental information and how to apply technical analysis to your most profitable advantage.

We want you to succeed and learn how to take advantage of these market moves, join us online for this select Webinar event and discover a wealth of new insights and strategies that you can use the very next trading day for long-lasting, significant benefits.

We were expecting a few hundred traders to take part in this breakthrough webinar.

We tried to keep it available to only our best students, but this topic is spreading like wildfire through trading circles. Our webinar service *should* be able to handle the load, but I’m honestly not too sure about it. The most we’ve ever tested it with is just over 1250 at one time.

So…

I recommend you log in about 10 minutes early just to make sure you don’t get squeezed out if the service chokes on so many participants.

Here are the instructions on how to login…

http://www.nationalfutures.com/webinar2.htm

Remember to log in about 10 minutes early and I’ll see you on the webinar!

All the best,

John Person Inc

www.NationalFutures.com

Risk:

Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss. Each investor must consider whether this is a suitable investment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.